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Warming oceans face CO2 tipping point

By Tierney Smith

Warming oceans will become less efficient at absorbing CO2 (Source: ani carrington/flickr)

The world’s oceans will absorb lower amounts of carbon dioxide as they warm, an expert has told RTCC.

Currently the oceans absorb between 35-42% of all CO2 emitted into the atmosphere.

They also absorb around 90% of the excess heat energy caused from rising greenhouse gases, which cause surface temperatures to rise.

But Professor Nathan Bindoff, project leader of the Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre (ACE CRC) oceans programme Australia has told RTCC that as temperatures of oceans rise, they will become less able to absorb the carbon dioxide emitted by human activities.

“The oceans are providing a service to mankind by actually actively storing the carbon dioxide in the ocean itself,” Professor Bindoff said.

“Now one of the concerns is that as we warm the planet the surface waters will tend to warm preferentially and will tend to become light compared to the water’s depth”

“The consequence of this is that it makes it harder for the oceans to take up carbon dioxide as efficiently as it has done in the past. What this means is the capacity of the ocean to take up the carbon dioxide will reduce into the future.”

While Bindoff says he cannot see a point when the oceans would stop absorbing CO2 entirely, the growing inability of the oceans to absorb as much carbon as they currently do will have adverse effects.

Those gases will remain in the atmosphere, further warming the planet.

“If you look into models of the earth’s system – oceans and atmosphere together – they all project that the efficiency of the carbon uptake by the oceans will decline as we go into the future,” he said. “So the fraction, which sits at roughly a third of atmospheric emissions, will go down.”

“That’s a concern because it means as we continue to emit carbon dioxide into the atmosphere those emissions will tend to be held more strongly in the atmosphere or in other sinks of carbon but the oceans will play a lesser role.”

RTCC Q&A: Full interview with Professor Nathan Bindoff

Contact the author at ts@rtcc.org or @rtcc_tierney.

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  • happygirl

    he doesn;t answer why they absorb less when theyre warmer though. useless

  • blog dog

    ocean acidification hysterics keep arguing (obviously without knowing the physics) that we’re getting warmer more acidic (actually less alkaline) oceans (pH 8.23 to pH8.14 – neutral is 7, more is alkaline, less acidic) in the last 150 years, as per proxy data and computer models – actual readings only go back about 60 years – additionally hysterics call this a 30% increase in acidification (arguable depending on the activity capacity of the free H ion increase which in raw numbers is about 30% assuming the rise in pH is correctly calculated

    prevailing paleoclimatic theory is that orbitally driven variable insolation (increased sunlight intake) first warms the oceans, causing them to release CO2, slightly enhance the greenhouse effect and set in motion stronger H2O feedbacks – a theory supported by extensive proxy data

    this author tells us the oceans as doing humanity a ‘service’ by holding CO2 – natural enough – and that the the oceans are approaching CO2 holding capacity – equally natural – all begs the question: what service, might not a warmer, more verdant planet be better for humanity? after all it’s a planet more often (90% of the last million or so years) capped in ice, i.e. little to no life support above the 45th parallel – which would you prefer?