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THE SECOND “D”:

           certifying avoided


           fire degradation


           in tropical forests








           Francisco Bidone, Technical Director, Ecora
           Virgílio Vianna, Strategic and Scientific Counsellor, Ecora


           Ecora, launched at COP30 in Belém by Bradesco,     prevailing methodologies credit avoided
           BNDES and Fundo Ecogreen, is a Brazilian carbon    deforestation but exclude fire degradation
           credit certification body and climate and carbon   or treat it only conceptually. Savanna fire
           tech infrastructure. Aimed at high-integrity       management, as practised in northern Australia,
           carbon credits through the latest technological    relies on early dry-season controlled burning,
           advances, it develops methodologies calibrated     potentially applicable to the Brazilian Cerrado
           to tropical realities, aligned with global best    but ecologically inverse to humid tropical forests.
           practices and international protocols, and         Jurisdictional REDD+ programmes increasingly
           subject to independent review.                     account for degradation, so projects must be
                                                              nested from the outset.

                                                              Ecora’s proposed fire-degradation module
                                                              Ecora intends to develop a fire-degradation
                                                              module within its REDD+ methodology, running on
                                                              its dMRV platform, with four components.

                                                                1    Degradation is quantified through canopy
                                                                  damage and tree mortality, combining
                                                                  satellite, lidar and field data over several
                                                                  years, as burned trees keep dying.
                                                                2    A climate-aware baseline, driven by an
                                                                  ignition and spread model incorporating
                                                                  drought, forest edges, roads and ignition
                                                                  sources, estimates expected burning each
                                                                  year; credits reflect expected minus observed
                                                                  outcomes, so wet years yield no windfall and
                                                                  El Niño years do not erase genuine effort.
           A growing source of emissions                       3    Brigade operations (dispatch, response times,
           Fire is a structural driver of carbon loss in forests   containment) are logged to evidence impact
           and savannas worldwide. In the Amazon, whose           beyond existing public programmes.
           humid forests evolved under low fire frequency,     4    Each pixel is classified as intact, fire-degraded
           the evidence is unequivocal. Brazilian Amazon          or deforested, preventing double counting.
           fire emissions averaged 454 MtCO  per year
                                            2
           in 2003–2015, rising to 989 MtCO  in drought       Ecora acts solely as certifier: it designs the module,
                                          2
                 1
           years . Fire-driven degradation released 791 ±     accredits data and model providers and audits,
                                                        2
           86 MtCO  across Pan-Amazonia in 2024 alone .       but neither develops projects nor profits from
                   2
           Degradation now rivals deforestation as a carbon   credit sales. The baseline model must be open,
                  3
           source , and fire-induced tree mortality persists   versioned and reviewed by an independent
                    4
           for years . The 2026 El Niño drought brought       scientific panel. Indigenous and community
           severe smoke to Manaus.                            brigades, engaged through free, prior and
                                                              informed consent, are central, remunerated for
           An unoccupied methodological gap                   verified effort rather than penalised for climate-
           The second “D” of REDD+, forest degradation,       driven fires. Nesting with states, alignment with
                                                                          5
           remains largely uncredited at project level:       Brazil’s SBCE  and data partnerships with INPE

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